According to Box Office Mojo, the website that tracks all things related to movie box office results, Baby Driver was last weekend’s big surprise at the box office. It also debuted in the number two spot on the 2017 Objective Top Fifteen posted on this site on Monday. What exactly does that mean? Not much yet. Think of it as the score in a game that is almost half over where most of the scoring occurs near the end of the game. The final result won’t crystalize until the Academy Award winners are announced next February. Also, keep in mind that most of the major Oscar contenders won’t be released until late in the year.
To give you some idea of what a final score does look like, here is the 2016 Objective Top Ten:
|Top Ten 2016 Movies Based on Objective Criteria|
|As Of 7/7/2017|
|2016 Released Movies||Oscar Noms/ Wins||IMDB Rating||Rotten Tomatoes Rating||Rotten Tomatoes % Fresh||Cinema Score||Objective “Really Like” Probability|
|Hacksaw Ridge||6/2||8.2||C. Fresh||87%||A||65.9%|
|La La Land||14/6||8.2||C. Fresh||92%||65.7%|
|Big Short, The||5/1||7.8||C. Fresh||88%||A-||65.4%|
|Rogue One||2/0||7.9||C. Fresh||85%||A||64.7%|
|Deepwater Horizon||2/0||7.2||C. Fresh||84%||A-||64.7%|
|Jungle Book, The||1/1||7.5||C. Fresh||95%||A||64.6%|
|Revenant, The||12/3||8.0||C. Fresh||81%||B+||64.6%|
Just to clarify, eligibility for the list is based on when a movie goes into wide release. This pits Oscar contenders from 2015, like The Big Short and The Revenant, that were widely released in early 2016 against Oscar contenders from 2016, like Moonlight and La La Land, that were widely released late in 2016.
Are you surprised that Hacksaw Ridge is the 2016 “Really Like” Movie of the Year? The response of movie watchers is what separates this movie from the others,. That, and the fact that Cinemascore for some reason didn’t survey La La Land. I will say this though. I have talked to people who didn’t like Moonlight. I have also talked to people who felt that La La Land was over-hyped. But, I haven’t talked to a single person who hasn’t “really liked” Hacksaw Ridge.
This ranking approach intersects a number of different movie viewing perspectives. Movie critics are represented in Rotten Tomatoes. People who go to the movie theaters on opening weekend and provide feedback before movie word of mouth has influenced their opinion are represented by Cinemascore. People who watch movies on a variety of platforms are represented by IMDB. And, finally, the people who understand how difficult it is to create movies, the artists themselves, are represented by their Academy Award performance. All of them are statistically significant indicators of whether you will “really like” a movie or not.
All of you won’t like every movie on this list. While there is around a 65% chance you will “really like” these movies, there is also around a 35% chance that you won’t. All I’m saying is that there is better chance that you will “really like” one of these movies rather than the latest installment in the Transformers or Pirates of the Caribbean franchises.
While my last paragraph may sound as if I have a reflexive aversion to movies that are part of a franchise, that couldn’t be further from the truth. Whether it’s part of a franchise or not, well made movies with fresh perspectives are worth the time of movie-lovers. The big movie opening this weekend is the second reboot of the Spider-Man franchise, Spider-Man: Homecoming and I’m really looking forward to it. The early indicators from Rotten Tomatoes and IMDB are all positive. Keep an eye on this one.